Prognosis depends primarily on the patient's risk classification.
Younger children tend to have better survival rates.[74]Schmidt ML, Lal A, Seeger RC, et al. Favorable prognosis for patients 12 to 18 months of age with stage 4 nonamplified MYCN neuroblastoma: a Children's Cancer Group Study. J Clin Oncol. 2005 Sep 20;23(27):6474-80.
http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/jco.2005.05.183
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16116154?tool=bestpractice.com
[75]London WB, Castleberry RP, Matthay KK, et al. Evidence for an age cutoff greater than 365 days for neuroblastoma risk group stratification in the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2005 Sep 20;23(27):6459-65.
http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/jco.2005.05.571
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16116153?tool=bestpractice.com
[76]George RE, London WB, Cohn SL, et al. Hyperdiploidy plus nonamplified MYCN confers a favorable prognosis in children 12 to 18 months old with disseminated neuroblastoma: a Pediatric Oncology Group study. J Clin Oncol. 2005 Sep 20;23(27):6466-73.
http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/jco.2005.05.582
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16116152?tool=bestpractice.com
Survival may also differ by race and ethnicity; some studies have found worse survival outcomes in black patients compared with white patients.[16]Campbell K, Siegel DA, Umaretiya PJ, et al. A comprehensive analysis of neuroblastoma incidence, survival, and racial and ethnic disparities from 2001 to 2019. Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2024 Jan;71(1):e30732.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11018254
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37867409?tool=bestpractice.com
[126]Umaretiya PJ, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Racial and ethnic survival disparities among children with high-risk neuroblastoma: a Children's Oncology Group report. JAMA Netw Open. 2025 Feb 3;8(2):e2458531.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11829236
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39951269?tool=bestpractice.com
[127]Nofi CP, Roberts BK, Brown EG, et al. Social determinants of health influence on survival in wilms tumor, neuroblastoma, and hepatoblastoma. J Pediatr Surg. 2025 Apr;60(4):162216.
https://www.jpedsurg.org/article/S0022-3468(25)00061-2/abstract
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39947026?tool=bestpractice.com
[128]Farouk FS, Viqar OA, Sheikh Z, et al. The association between race and survival among pediatric patients with neuroblastoma in the US between 1973 and 2015. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 15;17(14):5119.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7399799
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32679868?tool=bestpractice.com
[129]Chennakesavalu M, Pudela C, Applebaum MA, et al. Persistence of racial and ethnic disparities in risk and survival for patients with neuroblastoma over two decades. EJC Paediatr Oncol. 2023 Dec;2:100022.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10783478
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38213818?tool=bestpractice.com
Low-risk disease
Patients with low-risk disease have an excellent prognosis. Estimated 5-year overall survival in this population is 98%; 5-year event-free survival is 91%.[68]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
Intermediate-risk disease
With a combination of surgery and chemotherapy, 5-year overall-survival and event-free survival is approximately 96% and 85%, respectively, in patients with intermediate-risk disease.[68]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
High-risk disease
Despite intense multimodal therapy, patients with high-risk disease have a poor prognosis with an event-free survival of ≤50%.[68]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
Five-year overall survival is approximately 60%.[68]Irwin MS, Naranjo A, Zhang FF, et al. Revised neuroblastoma risk classification system: a report from the Children's Oncology Group. J Clin Oncol. 2021 Oct 10;39(29):3229-41.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34319759?tool=bestpractice.com
Relapsed and refractory disease
Survival rates for those with relapsed/refractory high-risk neuroblastoma remain poor. Meta-analysis of European phase 2 clinical trial data reported median overall survival of 16 months among children and adolescents with relapsed/refractory neuroblastoma.[130]Moreno L, Rubie H, Varo A, et al. Outcome of children with relapsed or refractory neuroblastoma: a meta-analysis of ITCC/SIOPEN European phase II clinical trials. Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2017 Jan;64(1):25-31.
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/pbc.26192
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27555472?tool=bestpractice.com
One-year and 4-year overall survival rates were 57% and 20%, respectively, in a large cohort of patients with recurrent/refractory neuroblastoma from Children's Oncology Group (COG) modern-era early-phase trials.[131]London WB, Bagatell R, Weigel BJ, et al. Historical time to disease progression and progression-free survival in patients with recurrent/refractory neuroblastoma treated in the modern era on Children's Oncology Group early-phase trials. Cancer. 2017 Dec 15;123(24):4914-23.
https://acsjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/cncr.30934
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28885700?tool=bestpractice.com
Median time from diagnosis to first disease recurrence/progression was 18.7 months.
Long-term sequelae
Patients with low-risk disease who are observed or treated with surgery have minimal long-term sequelae.[132]Friedman DN, Goodman PJ, Leisenring WM, et al. Impact of risk-based therapy on late morbidity and mortality in neuroblastoma survivors: a report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2024 Jun 7;116(6):885-94.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11160496
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38460547?tool=bestpractice.com
Because patients with intermediate- and high-risk disease are treated with chemotherapy and radiation in addition to surgery, survivors are at risk of experiencing treatment-related adverse effects (e.g., ototoxicity, cardiotoxicity, endocrine complications, osteoporosis, secondary malignancies, and future infertility), which may have long-term implications.[70]Sokol E, Desai AV, Applebaum MA, et al. Age, Diagnostic Category, Tumor Grade, and Mitosis-Karyorrhexis Index Are Independently Prognostic in Neuroblastoma: An INRG Project. J Clin Oncol. 2020 Jun 10;38(17):1906-18.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7280049
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32315273?tool=bestpractice.com
[133]Haghiri S, Fayech C, Mansouri I, et al. Long-term follow-up of high-risk neuroblastoma survivors treated with high-dose chemotherapy and stem cell transplantation rescue. Bone Marrow Transplant. 2021 Aug;56(8):1984-97.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33824435?tool=bestpractice.com