Criteria

University of Southern California (USC)/Van Nuys prognostic index for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS)[104]

The Van Nuys classification system incorporates nuclear grade and necrosis into a pathology score of high nuclear grade, non-high grade with necrosis, and non-high grade without necrosis. The pathology score is then combined with margin size, tumour size, and age for prognostic classification. A low score is 4-6, intermediate score is 7-9, and high score is 10-12.

Size (score):

  • <15 mm (1)

  • 16-40 mm (2)

  • >41 mm (3)

Margin (score):

  • >10 mm (1)

  • 1-9 mm (2)

  • <1 mm (3)

Age (score):

  • >61 years (1)

  • 40-61 years (2)

  • <39 years (3)

Pathological classification (score):

  • NG1 non-high grade without necrosis (1)

  • NG2 non-high grade with necrosis (2)

  • NG3 high grade (3)

Gail model of breast cancer risk assessment[105]

The National Cancer Institute’s Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT; also known as the Gail model) determines breast cancer risk based on:[54] National Cancer Institute: breast cancer risk assessment tool Opens in new window

  • Current age

  • Age at first menstrual period

  • Age at first live birth

  • Number of first-degree relatives with breast cancer

  • Number of breast biopsies

  • Presence atypical hyperplasia

Applies to women aged 35-85 years. Not accurate in women with a previous history of ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS), lobular carcinoma in situ (LCIS), or invasive breast cancer. Risk may be underestimated in: those with BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation; those with a strong family history of breast cancer; those with a family history of ovarian cancer in the maternal or paternal family lineage; non-white individuals; and those with atypical hyperplasia.

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